King of the Markets: farming plan

Point value, cost per point, today's pools and the daily rule.

Built Oct 16, 04:21 PM PT · rebuilt every 2h · King of the Markets Season 1 only · heuristics & assumptions labeled · not advice

Wallet

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Own launched tokens (fallback pools)

Recent activity, last 50 events (estimated fee cost)

Point value

Reward pool now

$1.04M

Season points

30.84M

$/pt now (incentive)

$0.0219

$/pt now if US wins

$0.0406

Pool added per point

$0.0012

Days left

11.7

End-season projection (assumed remaining points/day: low 1.5M · base 3M · high 6M; P(win) US 90% / CN 7% / KR 3%)

Case	Total pts	Pool	Incentive $/pt	EV $/pt US	EV CN	EV KR	Value of $1K launch vol (US)
low	48.4M	$1.06M	0.0142	0.0251	0.0164	0.0160	$113
base	66.0M	$1.08M	0.0106	0.0188	0.0123	0.0119	$85
high	101.3M	$1.12M	0.0072	0.0127	0.0083	0.0081	$58

Pool growth model (docs)

Pool = $1M seed + 20% of the 1% launchpad base fee (stock-pool fees do not feed it). 65% is split pro-rata over all points; 35% is a jackpot for the country with the most points. Extra volume adds ≈$0.0012 of pool per point, so $/pt falls as volume grows, toward ≈$0.0008/pt plus the winner's jackpot share.

Cost per 1,000 points

Definition used everywhere: net cost per 1K pts = (fees + stock-leg loss + price PnL + gas) ÷ points × 1000. "Fees-only" excludes price PnL. Data: SR docs + on-chain receipts.

Method	Cost / 1K pts	Notes
Own launched token (creator only), pay SPCX directly, back-to-back, escrow claimed	$1.4–2.0	net 0.7% fee applies ONLY to a creator trading their own token after claiming the 30% share; everyone else pays 1%
USDG route, US open	≈$3	stock-leg session fee + impact
USDG route, market closed	$6+	observed 1.5% per side
Graduated v4 pools	$3–6 + price risk	1% hook fee + stock leg + spread

Worked example: one wallet's real IXIT trades (on-chain receipts, 0x241e…3870)

PT	Side	Paid	Got	Curve fee	Stock leg	Points
Oct 14 23:45	dev buy	45.70 USDG + 0.0005 ETH	9.88M IXIT	$0.45	$0.69	n/a
Oct 14 23:45	buy	54.00 USDG	11.37M IXIT	$0.53	$0.81	n/a
Oct 15 16:40	sell	21.25M IXIT	95.00 USDG	$0.97	$0.57	479.8

Net $4.70 + $1.21 launch + $0.13 gas ≈ $4.8–6.2 / 1K pts (buy points not in feed; ~500 assumed). The creator's 30% share sits in escrow until claimed. The 17h hold cost $0.68 in price drift.

Cost calculator

Round-trip size $ Route Session Liquidity $ Hold minutes I'm the creator (escrow claimed)

Model (labeled assumptions): launch fee 1% per side (0.7% net for the creator who claims). Stock leg per side: 0.2% open / 1.0% closed (observed 0.6–1.5% when closed). Slippage on graduated pools ≈ 0.3 × size / liquidity per side (curve round trips are symmetric). Price drift ≈ 0.04% per hour held (IXIT example). Points 5 per $ launch volume (+1 per $ stock-leg volume on the USDG route). Compared with the base-case end-season EV $/pt.

Today's shortlist

Built Oct 16, 04:21 PM PT from the SR markets API + our realness heuristic. Real = realness score; Wash = volume share from near-equal buy+sell wallets; Top-5 = share of the 5 biggest wallets; Max trade ≈ 0.5% of liquidity.

Token	Team	Stage	24h vol	Trades	Liq/mcap	24h	Age	Real	Notes
BEANS	CN	pool	$84.5K	649	$27.7K	+12%	54h	100	80 wallets/100 trades, wash 11%, top-5 37%. Max trade ≈ $139

Criteria: realness ≥75, wash <35%, top-5 <55%, ≥40 wallets, 24h vol ≥$50K, liquidity ≥$20K (or curve mcap ≥$5K), not −50%. US board first.

Red flags

Token	Team	Stage	24h vol	Trades	Liq/mcap	24h	Age	Real	Notes
AGEM	KR	pool	$1.07M	7,574	$78.6K	+73%	38h	40	33 unique wallets in last 100 trades; top-5 wallets = 88% of volume; wash-like: 61% of volume from wallets buying and selling near-equal amounts
KING	US	pool	$97.9K	1,889	$5.0K	-37%	24h	40	30 unique wallets in last 100 trades; wash-like: 79% of volume from wallets buying and selling near-equal amounts; liquidity protocol-locked (KotM), cannot be pulled
BALLS	US	pool	$39.6K	1,118	$10.2K	-63%	54h	40	44 unique wallets in last 100 trades; top-5 wallets = 70% of volume; wash-like: 59% of volume from wallets buying and selling near-equal amounts
MACHI	CN	curve	$31.2K	264	$2.8K	+147%	21h	40	47 unique wallets in last 100 trades; top-5 wallets = 65% of volume; wash-like: 78% of volume from wallets buying and selling near-equal amounts
BLACKSHEEP	CN	pool	$22.9K	92	$26.3K	-87%	52h	55	75 unique wallets in last 100 trades; top-5 wallets = 79% of volume; heavy selling (100% sells)
ROADSTER	US	curve	$12.2K	122	$46	-1%	23h	40	46 unique wallets in last 100 trades; wash-like: 63% of volume from wallets buying and selling near-equal amounts; FDV/liquidity 96x, very thin vs valuation
SPACEDEX	US	pool	$12.1K	648	$8.3K	-69%	29h	40	26 unique wallets in last 100 trades; top-5 wallets = 40% of volume; wash-like: 88% of volume from wallets buying and selling near-equal amounts
KOSMI	US	curve	$11.6K	170	$1	-8%	8h	40	46 unique wallets in last 100 trades; wash-like: 61% of volume from wallets buying and selling near-equal amounts; FDV/liquidity 3863x, very thin vs valuation

Daily decision rule

If base EV $/pt on the target team is below $0.005, skip the day.
If shortlist pools exist: farm the top 1–2. Each trade ≤0.5% of liquidity. Buy then sell within minutes. Never hold overnight. Cap $3K/day on weekdays, $2K on weekends.
Otherwise farm a token you launched (US team preferred): $100–200 round trips, pay with SPCX directly. Use USDG only during US open. Target ≤$3 per 1K pts.
Stop for the day if the realized loss is more than 3% of volume.
Free points: deployer 10% on other wallets' trades, plus referrals.

Calendar

Day	Notes
Sat Oct 17	Weekend: SPCX direct only, small size
Sun Oct 18	Weekend
Mon Oct 19	US open 6:30 AM–1 PM PT
Tue Oct 20	US open
Wed Oct 21	US open
Thu Oct 22	US open
Fri Oct 23	US open
Sat Oct 24	Weekend
Sun Oct 25	Weekend
Mon Oct 26	US open; re-check team gap
Tue Oct 27	Last full day
Wed Oct 28	Close 10:00 AM PT (1 PM ET). Flat by 9:30 AM PT